Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 3.061554e-05 0.000036 0.000042 0.000050 0.000057 0.000066 0.000076
2025-05-25 2.182737e-05 0.000029 0.000037 0.000047 0.000058 0.000072 0.000088
2025-06-01 1.647672e-05 0.000024 0.000033 0.000045 0.000060 0.000077 0.000099
2025-06-08 1.317359e-05 0.000021 0.000031 0.000045 0.000062 0.000084 0.000111
2025-06-15 1.060323e-05 0.000018 0.000029 0.000044 0.000064 0.000089 0.000122
2025-06-22 8.306150e-06 0.000016 0.000027 0.000043 0.000065 0.000093 0.000131
2025-06-29 6.317199e-06 0.000013 0.000024 0.000040 0.000064 0.000095 0.000137
2025-07-06 4.678191e-06 0.000011 0.000021 0.000038 0.000062 0.000095 0.000141
2025-07-13 3.691699e-06 0.000010 0.000020 0.000037 0.000063 0.000098 0.000149
2025-07-20 3.000029e-06 0.000009 0.000019 0.000037 0.000064 0.000102 0.000158
2025-07-27 2.528871e-06 0.000008 0.000018 0.000037 0.000066 0.000108 0.000169
2025-08-03 2.454788e-06 0.000008 0.000019 0.000040 0.000072 0.000119 0.000187
2025-08-10 1.971955e-06 0.000007 0.000019 0.000040 0.000075 0.000127 0.000203
2025-08-17 1.289373e-06 0.000006 0.000017 0.000038 0.000074 0.000128 0.000210
2025-08-24 8.639787e-07 0.000005 0.000015 0.000036 0.000074 0.000131 0.000219
2025-08-31 6.160661e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000036 0.000075 0.000136 0.000232
2025-09-07 4.230253e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000036 0.000077 0.000142 0.000244
2025-09-14 2.574431e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000034 0.000076 0.000144 0.000253
2025-09-21 1.348685e-07 0.000002 0.000011 0.000032 0.000075 0.000145 0.000259
2025-09-28 5.845441e-08 0.000002 0.000009 0.000030 0.000073 0.000144 0.000263
2025-10-05 2.742259e-08 0.000001 0.000009 0.000029 0.000073 0.000147 0.000272
2025-10-12 1.261925e-08 0.000001 0.000008 0.000029 0.000074 0.000152 0.000284
2025-10-19 5.963878e-09 0.000001 0.000008 0.000029 0.000076 0.000159 0.000299